Toral de los Vados: TYP would keep its majority
Toral de los Vados (León, 1,792 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 78%TYP majority
- 1,280valid votes in 2023 (81% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 22% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Toral de los Vados
Toral de los Vados is a municipality in the province of León with 1,792 inhabitants, the 36th largest of its 211 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 TYP came first with 46.7% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 2. 81.1% of the 1,579 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps TYP on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 78% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- TYPLocal lists 46.7% → 49.3% 5 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 19.5% → 16.7% 2 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 17.3% → 16.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- C. BIERZOLocal lists 15.6% → 16.5% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,280 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.