Carrizo: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
Carrizo (León, 2,234 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 58%PSOE majority
- 1,448valid votes in 2023 (77% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 26% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Carrizo
Carrizo is a municipality in the province of León with 2,234 inhabitants, the 27th largest of its 211 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 50.8% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 5. 76.8% of the 1,886 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 5 of 11.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 50.8% → 48.9% 6 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 40.5% → 41.8% 5 → 5 councillors
- U.P.L.Local lists 7.5% → 8.2% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,448 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.