Agüimes: RA would keep its majority
Agüimes (Las Palmas, 32,067 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- over 99%RA majority
- 14,657valid votes in 2023 (57% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Agüimes
Agüimes is a municipality in the province of Las Palmas with 32,067 inhabitants, the 8th largest of its 34 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 RA came first with 53.6% of the vote and 14 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 3. 57% of the 25,727 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps RA on 14 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- RALocal lists 53.6% → 55.5% 14 → 14 councillors
- VOXVox 7.3% → 12.9% 2 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 12.7% → 9.8% 3 → 2 councillors
- CCACoalición Canaria 10.7% → 8.7% 2 → 2 councillors
- UXGCLocal lists 4.1% → 4.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 4.9% → 3.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.2% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- AHORA CANARIAS-PCPCLocal lists 0.8% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- USPSumar, Podemos and allies 2.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 14,657 valid votes including 166 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.