Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Gáldar: BNR-NC would keep its majority

Gáldar (Las Palmas, 24,567 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

BNR-NC±0
19 councillors (2023: 19) · 80.5% of the vote (2023: 78.8%) Majority over 99%
UXGC±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.2% of the vote (2023: 6.0%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 5.6% of the vote (2023: 1.8%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.3% of the vote (2023: 7.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. BNR-NCLocal lists 78.8% → 80.5% 19 → 19 councillors
  2. UXGCLocal lists 6.0% → 6.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  3. VOXVox 1.8% → 5.6% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 7.0% → 4.3% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. CCACoalición Canaria 1.9% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PPPP 2.1% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. USPSumar, Podemos and allies 1.5% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 14,263 valid votes including 105 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Gáldar in size, in Las Palmas

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