Gáldar: BNR-NC would keep its majority
Gáldar (Las Palmas, 24,567 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- over 99%BNR-NC majority
- 14,263valid votes in 2023 (69% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Gáldar
Gáldar is a municipality in the province of Las Palmas with 24,567 inhabitants, the 11th largest of its 34 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 BNR-NC came first with 78.8% of the vote and 19 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 1. 68.5% of the 20,810 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps BNR-NC on 19 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- BNR-NCLocal lists 78.8% → 80.5% 19 → 19 councillors
- UXGCLocal lists 6.0% → 6.2% 1 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 1.8% → 5.6% 0 → 1 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 7.0% → 4.3% 1 → 0 councillors
- CCACoalición Canaria 1.9% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 2.1% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- USPSumar, Podemos and allies 1.5% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 14,263 valid votes including 105 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.