La Oliva: no list would have a majority, CCA largest
La Oliva (Las Palmas, 27,945 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 7,100valid votes in 2023 (48% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CCA−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 25.0% of the vote (2023: 29.3%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 23.1% of the vote (2023: 23.0%)
Majority 0%
PSOE−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 20.7% of the vote (2023: 23.1%)
Majority 0%
EN MARCHA±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 11.1% of the vote (2023: 10.2%)
Majority 0%
VOX+2
2
councillors (2023: 0) · 8.8% of the vote (2023: 3.8%)
Majority 0%
NC-FAC±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 6.2% of the vote (2023: 5.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CCACoalición Canaria 29.3% → 25.0% 7 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 23.0% → 23.1% 5 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 23.1% → 20.7% 6 → 5 councillors
- EN MARCHALocal lists 10.2% → 11.1% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 3.8% → 8.8% 0 → 2 councillors
- NC-FACLocal lists 5.7% → 6.2% 1 → 1 councillors
- AMFLocal lists 1.8% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- CONTIGOLocal lists 1.3% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,100 valid votes including 131 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.