Ingenio: no list would have a majority, FD-NC largest
Ingenio (Las Palmas, 31,932 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 96%no list with a majority
- 14,755valid votes in 2023 (57% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
FD-NC±0
9
councillors (2023: 9) · 34.9% of the vote (2023: 35.1%)
Majority 4%
PP-SOMOS±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 16.8% of the vote (2023: 16.9%)
Majority 0%
PSOE−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 15.7% of the vote (2023: 19.5%)
Majority 0%
VOX+2
3
councillors (2023: 1) · 12.0% of the vote (2023: 7.0%)
Majority 0%
AGS±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 7.6% of the vote (2023: 7.6%)
Majority 0%
CCA−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 3.9% of the vote (2023: 5.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 96% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- FD-NCLocal lists 35.1% → 34.9% 9 → 9 councillors
- PP-SOMOSLocal lists 16.9% → 16.8% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 19.5% → 15.7% 5 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 7.0% → 12.0% 1 → 3 councillors
- AGSLocal lists 7.6% → 7.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- UXGCLocal lists 4.3% → 4.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- CCACoalición Canaria 5.0% → 3.9% 1 → 0 councillors
- HABLEMOS AHORALocal lists 1.6% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- REUNIR CANARIAS SOSTENIBLELocal lists 1.3% → 1.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 14,755 valid votes including 260 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.