Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Arucas: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Arucas (Las Palmas, 38,369 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 35.7% of the vote (2023: 38.3%) Majority 7%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 15.9% of the vote (2023: 9.1%) Majority 0%
PP−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 15.1% of the vote (2023: 15.6%) Majority 0%
NC-FAC+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 11.9% of the vote (2023: 11.1%) Majority 0%
UXGC±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 8.6% of the vote (2023: 8.0%) Majority 0%
CCA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.5% of the vote (2023: 7.7%) Majority 0%
PODEMOS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.0% of the vote (2023: 5.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 93% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 38.3% → 35.7% 9 → 8 councillors
  2. VOXVox 9.1% → 15.9% 2 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 15.6% → 15.1% 4 → 3 councillors
  4. NC-FACLocal lists 11.1% → 11.9% 2 → 3 councillors
  5. UXGCLocal lists 8.0% → 8.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  6. CCACoalición Canaria 7.7% → 6.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  7. PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 5.2% → 3.0% 1 → 0 councillors
  8. HABLEMOS AHORALocal lists 1.0% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 1.9% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 18,587 valid votes including 405 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Arucas in size, in Las Palmas

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