La Oliva: no list would have a majority, CCA largest
La Oliva (Las Palmas, 27,945 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 7,100valid votes in 2023 (48% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About La Oliva
La Oliva is a municipality in the province of Las Palmas with 27,945 inhabitants, the 10th largest of its 34 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CCA came first with 29.3% of the vote and 7 seats; PSOE was second with 6. 48.5% of the 14,648 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CCA would be largest on 6 of 21.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CCACoalición Canaria 29.3% → 25.0% 7 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 23.0% → 23.1% 5 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 23.1% → 20.7% 6 → 5 councillors
- EN MARCHALocal lists 10.2% → 11.1% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 3.8% → 8.8% 0 → 2 councillors
- NC-FACLocal lists 5.7% → 6.2% 1 → 1 councillors
- AMFLocal lists 1.8% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- CONTIGOLocal lists 1.3% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,100 valid votes including 131 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.