Villanueva del Arzobispo: no list would have a majority, AXV largest
Villanueva del Arzobispo (Jaén, 7,968 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 3,902valid votes in 2023 (64% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Villanueva del Arzobispo
Villanueva del Arzobispo is a municipality in the province of Jaén with 7,968 inhabitants, the 17th largest of its 97 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 AXV came first with 26.2% of the vote and 4 seats; PP was second with 3. 63.7% of the 6,129 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: AXV would be largest on 4 of 13.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- AXVLocal lists 26.2% → 26.1% 4 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 23.2% → 21.4% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 21.4% → 17.5% 3 → 2 councillors
- IVLocal lists 17.1% → 17.1% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 10.6% → 16.6% 1 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,902 valid votes including 53 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.