Cazorla: PSOE would keep its majority
Cazorla (Jaén, 7,183 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 82%PSOE majority
- 3,933valid votes in 2023 (67% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
7
councillors (2023: 8) · 52.0% of the vote (2023: 52.6%)
Majority 82%
PP±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 37.7% of the vote (2023: 35.8%)
Majority 5%
PCÑ+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 6.8% of the vote (2023: 6.1%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 13% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 52.6% → 52.0% 8 → 7 councillors
- PPPP 35.8% → 37.7% 5 → 5 councillors
- PCÑLocal lists 6.1% → 6.8% 0 → 1 councillors
- PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 4.6% → 2.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,933 valid votes including 36 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.