Porcuna: CS would keep its majority
Porcuna (Jaén, 6,080 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- over 99%CS majority
- 4,203valid votes in 2023 (83% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CS+1
10
councillors (2023: 9) · 72.8% of the vote (2023: 69.2%)
Majority over 99%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 15.7% of the vote (2023: 16.5%)
Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 11.2% of the vote (2023: 13.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CSCiudadanos 69.2% → 72.8% 9 → 10 councillors
- PPPP 16.5% → 15.7% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 13.9% → 11.2% 2 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,203 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.