Porcuna: CS would keep its majority
Porcuna (Jaén, 6,080 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- over 99%CS majority
- 4,203valid votes in 2023 (83% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Porcuna
Porcuna is a municipality in the province of Jaén with 6,080 inhabitants, the 22nd largest of its 97 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CS came first with 69.2% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 82.6% of the 5,089 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps CS on 10 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CSCiudadanos 69.2% → 72.8% 9 → 10 councillors
- PPPP 16.5% → 15.7% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 13.9% → 11.2% 2 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,203 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.