Arjona: PSOE would keep its majority
Arjona (Jaén, 5,397 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- over 99%PSOE majority
- 3,226valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE±0
9
councillors (2023: 9) · 64.7% of the vote (2023: 65.9%)
Majority over 99%
PP±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 29.9% of the vote (2023: 29.0%)
Majority under 1%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 65.9% → 64.7% 9 → 9 councillors
- PPPP 29.0% → 29.9% 4 → 4 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 3.5% → 3.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,226 valid votes including 50 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.