Arjona: PSOE would keep its majority
Arjona (Jaén, 5,397 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- over 99%PSOE majority
- 3,226valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Arjona
Arjona is a municipality in the province of Jaén with 5,397 inhabitants, the 24th largest of its 97 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 65.9% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 4. 72.6% of the 4,445 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 65.9% → 64.7% 9 → 9 councillors
- PPPP 29.0% → 29.9% 4 → 4 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 3.5% → 3.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,226 valid votes including 50 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.