Torredelcampo: PSOE would keep its majority
Torredelcampo (Jaén, 13,922 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 74%PSOE majority
- 7,629valid votes in 2023 (68% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 22% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Torredelcampo
Torredelcampo is a municipality in the province of Jaén with 13,922 inhabitants, the 10th largest of its 97 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 53.2% of the vote and 10 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 6. 67.8% of the 11,260 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 74% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 53.2% → 50.5% 10 → 9 councillors
- PPPP 36.2% → 36.6% 6 → 7 councillors
- VOXVox 3.0% → 7.6% 0 → 1 councillors
- PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 6.3% → 4.0% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,629 valid votes including 98 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.