Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Santisteban del Puerto: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Santisteban del Puerto (Jaén, 4,434 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 45.1% of the vote (2023: 43.9%) Majority 37%
PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 39.4% of the vote (2023: 41.7%) Majority 9%
JM+±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.8% of the vote (2023: 12.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 54% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Santisteban del Puerto

Santisteban del Puerto is a municipality in the province of Jaén with 4,434 inhabitants, the 31st largest of its 97 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 43.9% of the vote and 5 seats; PSOE was second with 5. 78.2% of the 3,575 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 43.9% → 45.1% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 41.7% → 39.4% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. JM+Local lists 12.7% → 13.8% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,797 valid votes including 47 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santisteban del Puerto in size, in Jaén

Every municipality in Jaén → · All of Spain →