Castillo de Locubín: PSOE would keep its majority
Castillo de Locubín (Jaén, 3,960 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 55%PSOE majority
- 2,402valid votes in 2023 (74% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 47.7% of the vote (2023: 51.7%)
Majority 55%
PP±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 43.3% of the vote (2023: 43.8%)
Majority 24%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 20% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 51.7% → 47.7% 6 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 43.8% → 43.3% 5 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 3.4% → 7.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,402 valid votes including 28 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.