España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Sabiote: PSOE would keep its majority

Sabiote (Jaén, 3,863 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 54.2% of the vote (2023: 57.9%) Majority 97%
JM++1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.4% of the vote (2023: 13.6%) Majority 0%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.7% of the vote (2023: 7.6%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.0% of the vote (2023: 12.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 57.9% → 54.2% 8 → 7 councillors
  2. JM+Local lists 13.6% → 14.4% 1 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.6% → 13.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PPPP 12.8% → 12.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 6.8% → 4.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,458 valid votes including 32 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sabiote in size, in Jaén

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