España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Santisteban del Puerto: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Santisteban del Puerto (Jaén, 4,434 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 45.1% of the vote (2023: 43.9%) Majority 37%
PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 39.4% of the vote (2023: 41.7%) Majority 9%
JM+±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.8% of the vote (2023: 12.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 54% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 43.9% → 45.1% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 41.7% → 39.4% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. JM+Local lists 12.7% → 13.8% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,797 valid votes including 47 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santisteban del Puerto in size, in Jaén

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