Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Navas de San Juan: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Navas de San Juan (Jaén, 4,465 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 43.2% of the vote (2023: 50.8%) Majority 26%
VOX+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 39.4% of the vote (2023: 29.7%) Majority 9%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 15.8% of the vote (2023: 17.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 65% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Navas de San Juan

Navas de San Juan is a municipality in the province of Jaén with 4,465 inhabitants, the 30th largest of its 97 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 50.8% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; VOX was second with 3. 72.5% of the 3,695 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 50.8% → 43.2% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. VOXVox 29.7% → 39.4% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 17.9% → 15.8% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,680 valid votes including 42 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Navas de San Juan in size, in Jaén

Every municipality in Jaén → · All of Spain →