Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Valldemossa: G.I.V. would keep its majority

Valldemossa (Illes Balears, 2,085 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

G.I.V.±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 48.8% of the vote (2023: 45.9%) Majority 61%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 29.5% of the vote (2023: 29.7%) Majority 0%
PSIB-PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 19.6% of the vote (2023: 22.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 39% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Valldemossa

Valldemossa is a municipality in the province of Illes Balears with 2,085 inhabitants, the 54th largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 G.I.V. came first with 45.9% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 73.3% of the 1,481 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps G.I.V. on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 61% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. G.I.V.Local lists 45.9% → 48.8% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 29.7% → 29.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSIB-PSOEPSOE 22.4% → 19.6% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,086 valid votes including 23 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Valldemossa in size, in Illes Balears

Every municipality in Illes Balears → · All of Spain →