Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Maria de la Salut: PP would keep its majority

Maria de la Salut (Illes Balears, 2,273 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 49.0% of the vote (2023: 48.3%) Majority 65%
MÉS±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 28.5% of the vote (2023: 26.7%) Majority 0%
PSIB-PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.7% of the vote (2023: 23.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 35% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 48.3% → 49.0% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. MÉSLocal lists 26.7% → 28.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSIB-PSOEPSOE 23.3% → 20.7% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,305 valid votes including 23 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Maria de la Salut in size, in Illes Balears

Every municipality in Illes Balears → · All of Spain →