Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Sant Joan: no list would have a majority, MÉS largest

Sant Joan (Illes Balears, 2,179 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

MÉS±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 43.3% of the vote (2023: 41.2%) Majority 21%
EL PI±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 28.4% of the vote (2023: 27.0%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.1% of the vote (2023: 17.8%) Majority 0%
PSIB-PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.3% of the vote (2023: 13.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 79% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. MÉSLocal lists 41.2% → 43.3% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. EL PILocal lists 27.0% → 28.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 17.8% → 17.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PSIB-PSOEPSOE 13.0% → 10.3% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,139 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sant Joan in size, in Illes Balears

Every municipality in Illes Balears → · All of Spain →