Sant Joan: no list would have a majority, MÉS largest
Sant Joan (Illes Balears, 2,179 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 79%no list with a majority
- 1,139valid votes in 2023 (77% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 79% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Sant Joan
Sant Joan is a municipality in the province of Illes Balears with 2,179 inhabitants, the 53rd largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 MÉS came first with 41.2% of the vote and 5 seats; EL PI was second with 3. 76.9% of the 1,482 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: MÉS would be largest on 5 of 11.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- MÉSLocal lists 41.2% → 43.3% 5 → 5 councillors
- EL PILocal lists 27.0% → 28.4% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 17.8% → 17.1% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSIB-PSOEPSOE 13.0% → 10.3% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,139 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.