Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Campanet: no list would have a majority, MÉS largest

Campanet (Illes Balears, 2,719 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

MÉS+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 39.3% of the vote (2023: 37.1%) Majority 6%
AEMC±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 22.4% of the vote (2023: 21.1%) Majority 0%
PSIB-PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 22.4% of the vote (2023: 25.2%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 15.1% of the vote (2023: 15.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 94% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. MÉSLocal lists 37.1% → 39.3% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. AEMCLocal lists 21.1% → 22.4% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PSIB-PSOEPSOE 25.2% → 22.4% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. PPPP 15.7% → 15.1% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,486 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Campanet in size, in Illes Balears

Every municipality in Illes Balears → · All of Spain →