Santanyí: PP would keep its majority
Santanyí (Illes Balears, 12,321 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 97%PP majority
- 4,886valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Santanyí
Santanyí is a municipality in the province of Illes Balears with 12,321 inhabitants, the 19th largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 61.6% of the vote and 11 seats, an absolute majority; SUMA was second with 4. 61.2% of the 7,980 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 11 seats, a majority, which it holds in 97% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 61.6% → 59.3% 11 → 11 councillors
- SUMALocal lists 21.2% → 21.4% 4 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 6.2% → 11.2% 1 → 2 councillors
- PSIB-PSOEPSOE 9.6% → 6.7% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,886 valid votes including 67 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.