Campos: PP would keep its majority
Campos (Illes Balears, 11,618 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 99%PP majority
- 5,239valid votes in 2023 (66% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Campos
Campos is a municipality in the province of Illes Balears with 11,618 inhabitants, the 23rd largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 63.7% of the vote and 12 seats, an absolute majority; PSIB PSOE EUIB INDEPENDENTS was second with 2. 66.1% of the 7,928 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 11 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 63.7% → 59.5% 12 → 11 councillors
- PSIB PSOE EUIB INDEPENDENTSLocal lists 13.4% → 13.1% 2 → 2 councillors
- MÉSLocal lists 12.0% → 11.7% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 6.6% → 11.4% 1 → 2 councillors
- SENTIT COMÚ CAMPOS - EL PILocal lists 3.0% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,239 valid votes including 69 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.