Formentera: no list would have a majority, SA UNIÓ largest
Formentera (Illes Balears, 11,418 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 59%no list with a majority
- 3,968valid votes in 2023 (54% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
SA UNIÓ−1
8
councillors (2023: 9) · 43.5% of the vote (2023: 47.1%)
Majority 41%
GXF±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 28.9% of the vote (2023: 26.0%)
Majority 0%
PSIB-PSOE±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 15.7% of the vote (2023: 17.7%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 6.4% of the vote (2023: 1.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 59% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- SA UNIÓSumar, Podemos and allies 47.1% → 43.5% 9 → 8 councillors
- GXFLocal lists 26.0% → 28.9% 5 → 5 councillors
- PSIB-PSOEPSOE 17.7% → 15.7% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 1.9% → 6.4% 0 → 1 councillors
- PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 3.9% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- P-LIBLocal lists 1.3% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,968 valid votes including 83 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.