Son Servera: PP would win a majority
Son Servera (Illes Balears, 11,752 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 51%PP majority
- 4,071valid votes in 2023 (49% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP+1
9
councillors (2023: 8) · 47.0% of the vote (2023: 44.9%)
Majority 51%
PSOE±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 28.4% of the vote (2023: 30.2%)
Majority 0%
IXSMB±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 18.7% of the vote (2023: 16.9%)
Majority 0%
UNIDOS PODEMOS−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 3.4% of the vote (2023: 5.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 49% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 44.9% → 47.0% 8 → 9 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 30.2% → 28.4% 5 → 5 councillors
- IXSMBLocal lists 16.9% → 18.7% 3 → 3 councillors
- UNIDOS PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 5.5% → 3.4% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,071 valid votes including 103 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.