Son Servera: PP would win a majority
Son Servera (Illes Balears, 11,752 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 51%PP majority
- 4,071valid votes in 2023 (49% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 49% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Son Servera
Son Servera is a municipality in the province of Illes Balears with 11,752 inhabitants, the 21st largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 44.9% of the vote and 8 seats; PSOE was second with 5. 49.3% of the 8,262 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 51% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 44.9% → 47.0% 8 → 9 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 30.2% → 28.4% 5 → 5 councillors
- IXSMBLocal lists 16.9% → 18.7% 3 → 3 councillors
- UNIDOS PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 5.5% → 3.4% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,071 valid votes including 103 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.