Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Son Servera: PP would win a majority

Son Servera (Illes Balears, 11,752 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
9 councillors (2023: 8) · 47.0% of the vote (2023: 44.9%) Majority 51%
PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 28.4% of the vote (2023: 30.2%) Majority 0%
IXSMB±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.7% of the vote (2023: 16.9%) Majority 0%
UNIDOS PODEMOS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.4% of the vote (2023: 5.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 49% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Son Servera

Son Servera is a municipality in the province of Illes Balears with 11,752 inhabitants, the 21st largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 44.9% of the vote and 8 seats; PSOE was second with 5. 49.3% of the 8,262 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 51% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 44.9% → 47.0% 8 → 9 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 30.2% → 28.4% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. IXSMBLocal lists 16.9% → 18.7% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. UNIDOS PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 5.5% → 3.4% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,071 valid votes including 103 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Son Servera in size, in Illes Balears

Every municipality in Illes Balears → · All of Spain →