Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Santa Eulària des Riu: PP would keep its majority

Santa Eulària des Riu (Illes Balears, 40,548 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
14 councillors (2023: 14) · 62.0% of the vote (2023: 62.2%) Majority over 99%
PSIB-PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 18.5% of the vote (2023: 21.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.8% of the vote (2023: 7.1%) Majority 0%
EUIB - UNIDAS PODEMOS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.1% of the vote (2023: 7.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Santa Eulària des Riu

Santa Eulària des Riu is a municipality in the province of Illes Balears with 40,548 inhabitants, the 5th largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 62.2% of the vote and 14 seats, an absolute majority; PSIB-PSOE was second with 5. 43.4% of the 24,955 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 14 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 62.2% → 62.0% 14 → 14 councillors
  2. PSIB-PSOEPSOE 21.6% → 18.5% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.1% → 12.8% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. EUIB - UNIDAS PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 7.6% → 5.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 10,838 valid votes including 175 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santa Eulària des Riu in size, in Illes Balears

Every municipality in Illes Balears → · All of Spain →