Inca: no list would have a majority, PSIB-PSOE largest
Inca (Illes Balears, 34,093 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 92%no list with a majority
- 13,422valid votes in 2023 (59% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSIB-PSOE−1
9
councillors (2023: 10) · 34.3% of the vote (2023: 38.8%)
Majority 8%
VOX+2
5
councillors (2023: 3) · 22.5% of the vote (2023: 14.9%)
Majority 0%
PP−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 21.3% of the vote (2023: 22.7%)
Majority 0%
MÉS±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 7.8% of the vote (2023: 7.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 92% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSIB-PSOEPSOE 38.8% → 34.3% 10 → 9 councillors
- VOXVox 14.9% → 22.5% 3 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 22.7% → 21.3% 6 → 5 councillors
- MÉSLocal lists 7.6% → 7.8% 2 → 2 councillors
- INDILocal lists 4.8% → 4.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- EL PILocal lists 2.9% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.7% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- PERXBLocal lists 2.3% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- EUIB - UNIDAS PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 2.2% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 13,422 valid votes including 130 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Inca in size, in Illes Balears
- Ciutadella de Menorca30,811 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Llucmajor38,722 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Marratxí38,902 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Maó29,445 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Sant Josep de sa Talaia28,813 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Santa Eulària des Riu40,548 inhabitants · 21 councillors