Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Maó: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Maó (Illes Balears, 29,445 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 34.4% of the vote (2023: 35.8%) Majority 1%
PSOE−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 32.3% of the vote (2023: 36.6%) Majority 0%
ARA MAÓ±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 18.0% of the vote (2023: 17.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.9% of the vote (2023: 6.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 35.8% → 34.4% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 36.6% → 32.3% 8 → 7 councillors
  3. ARA MAÓLocal lists 17.6% → 18.0% 4 → 4 councillors
  4. VOXVox 6.6% → 11.9% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 1.7% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 11,697 valid votes including 203 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Maó in size, in Illes Balears

Every municipality in Illes Balears → · All of Spain →