Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Marratxí: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Marratxí (Illes Balears, 38,902 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 32.1% of the vote (2023: 34.0%) Majority 1%
VOX+2
6 councillors (2023: 4) · 26.1% of the vote (2023: 18.0%) Majority 0%
PSIB-PSOE−2
5 councillors (2023: 7) · 23.0% of the vote (2023: 27.2%) Majority 0%
MÉS±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 10.2% of the vote (2023: 10.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 34.0% → 32.1% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. VOXVox 18.0% → 26.1% 4 → 6 councillors
  3. PSIB-PSOEPSOE 27.2% → 23.0% 7 → 5 councillors
  4. MÉSLocal lists 10.2% → 10.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. EL PILocal lists 4.7% → 4.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 1.9% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. EUIB - UNIDAS PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 2.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 19,048 valid votes including 281 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Marratxí in size, in Illes Balears

Every municipality in Illes Balears → · All of Spain →