Llucmajor: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Llucmajor (Illes Balears, 38,722 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 14,893valid votes in 2023 (56% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Llucmajor
Llucmajor is a municipality in the province of Illes Balears with 38,722 inhabitants, the 7th largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 26.1% of the vote and 7 seats; PSIB-PSOE was second with 4. 55.7% of the 26,747 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 6 of 21.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 26.1% → 24.4% 7 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 14.7% → 21.9% 3 → 5 councillors
- PSIB-PSOEPSOE 17.3% → 13.8% 4 → 3 councillors
- LLIBERTAT LLUCMAJORLocal lists 11.1% → 11.1% 2 → 2 councillors
- MÉSLocal lists 10.2% → 10.2% 2 → 2 councillors
- S´ULLLocal lists 7.5% → 7.5% 2 → 2 councillors
- ASILocal lists 5.4% → 5.4% 1 → 1 councillors
- EL PILocal lists 3.0% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- EUIB - UNIDAS PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 2.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- FE DE LAS JONSLocal lists 0.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- PLIELocal lists 0.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 14,893 valid votes including 213 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.