Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Llubí: no list would have a majority, MÉS largest

Llubí (Illes Balears, 2,392 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

MÉS±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 44.3% of the vote (2023: 42.7%) Majority 35%
FUTUR LLUBÍ-EL PI±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 24.9% of the vote (2023: 24.0%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.8% of the vote (2023: 18.7%) Majority 0%
FXLL±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.9% of the vote (2023: 11.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 65% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Llubí

Llubí is a municipality in the province of Illes Balears with 2,392 inhabitants, the 51st largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 MÉS came first with 42.7% of the vote and 5 seats; FUTUR LLUBÍ-EL PI was second with 3. 74.9% of the 1,761 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: MÉS would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. MÉSLocal lists 42.7% → 44.3% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. FUTUR LLUBÍ-EL PILocal lists 24.0% → 24.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 18.7% → 17.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. FXLLLocal lists 11.4% → 11.9% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PSIB-PSOEPSOE 2.0% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,319 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Llubí in size, in Illes Balears

Every municipality in Illes Balears → · All of Spain →