Eivissa: PP would keep its majority
Eivissa (Illes Balears, 50,715 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 25councillors, 13 for a majority
- 80%PP majority
- 15,662valid votes in 2023 (48% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 20% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Eivissa
Eivissa is a municipality in the province of Illes Balears with 50,715 inhabitants, the 3rd largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 25 seats, and 13 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 47.6% of the vote and 15 seats, an absolute majority; PSIB-PSOE was second with 7. 47.6% of the 32,897 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 14 seats, a majority, which it holds in 80% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 47.6% → 46.2% 15 → 14 councillors
- PSIB-PSOEPSOE 24.8% → 21.2% 7 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 8.8% → 14.7% 2 → 4 councillors
- ARA EIVISSA-AMERC 4.2% → 5.3% 0 → 1 councillors
- EPIC-EL PILocal lists 3.7% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- EUIB - UNIDAS PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 5.5% → 3.1% 1 → 0 councillors
- PERXBLocal lists 2.2% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 1.6% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 15,662 valid votes including 267 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.