Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Capdepera: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Capdepera (Illes Balears, 12,081 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 30.5% of the vote (2023: 29.8%) Majority 0%
MÉS±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 27.9% of the vote (2023: 25.5%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 25.9% of the vote (2023: 28.0%) Majority 0%
EL PI±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 11.9% of the vote (2023: 10.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Capdepera

Capdepera is a municipality in the province of Illes Balears with 12,081 inhabitants, the 20th largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 29.8% of the vote and 5 seats; PSOE was second with 5. 48.4% of the 8,186 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 29.8% → 30.5% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. MÉSLocal lists 25.5% → 27.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 28.0% → 25.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  4. EL PILocal lists 10.9% → 11.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. UNIDOS PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 4.2% → 2.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,961 valid votes including 62 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Capdepera in size, in Illes Balears

Every municipality in Illes Balears → · All of Spain →