Calvià: no list would have a majority, PSIB-PSOE largest
Calvià (Illes Balears, 52,458 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 25councillors, 13 for a majority
- 95%no list with a majority
- 17,384valid votes in 2023 (55% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 95% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Calvià
Calvià is a municipality in the province of Illes Balears with 52,458 inhabitants, the 2nd largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 25 seats, and 13 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSIB-PSOE came first with 38% of the vote and 12 seats; PP was second with 8. 55.1% of the 31,549 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSIB-PSOE would be largest on 10 of 25.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSIB-PSOEPSOE 38.0% → 33.5% 12 → 10 councillors
- PPPP 28.4% → 26.9% 8 → 8 councillors
- VOXVox 16.4% → 24.4% 5 → 7 councillors
- MÉS-DECIDELocal lists 4.1% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- AXCALVIÁLocal lists 3.2% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- EL PILocal lists 2.1% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- VECINOS CALVIÁLocal lists 2.1% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- EUIB - UNIDAS PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 3.5% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 0.9% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 17,384 valid votes including 225 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.