Lepe: PP would keep its majority
Lepe (Huelva, 28,617 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 95%PP majority
- 12,568valid votes in 2023 (62% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Lepe
Lepe is a municipality in the province of Huelva with 28,617 inhabitants, the 2nd largest of its 80 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 57.2% of the vote and 13 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 7. 62% of the 20,276 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 13 seats, a majority, which it holds in 95% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 57.2% → 55.8% 13 → 13 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 31.7% → 27.7% 7 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 6.7% → 12.1% 1 → 2 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 3.0% → 3.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 12,568 valid votes including 170 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.