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Motril: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Motril (Granada, 58,798 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
11 councillors (2023: 11) · 34.9% of the vote (2023: 35.0%) Majority 8%
PSOE-A−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 18.0% of the vote (2023: 20.8%) Majority 0%
PMAS±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 14.5% of the vote (2023: 13.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+3
3 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.0% of the vote (2023: 4.8%) Majority 0%
UA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 9.2% of the vote (2023: 8.6%) Majority 0%
IU-VERDES EQUO PARA LA GENTE−2
0 councillors (2023: 2) · 4.0% of the vote (2023: 6.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 92% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Motril

Motril is a municipality in the province of Granada with 58,798 inhabitants, the 2nd largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 25 seats, and 13 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 35% of the vote and 11 seats; PSOE-A was second with 6. 54.8% of the 43,507 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 11 of 25.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 35.0% → 34.9% 11 → 11 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 20.8% → 18.0% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. PMASLocal lists 13.6% → 14.5% 4 → 4 councillors
  4. VOXVox 4.8% → 10.0% 0 → 3 councillors
  5. UALocal lists 8.6% → 9.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  6. C.MOTRILLocal lists 4.0% → 4.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. IU-VERDES EQUO PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 6.3% → 4.0% 2 → 0 councillors
  8. MOTRIL ESLocal lists 3.7% → 3.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 2.0% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 23,833 valid votes including 294 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Motril in size, in Granada

Every municipality in Granada → · All of Spain →