Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Almuñécar: PP would keep its majority

Almuñécar (Granada, 26,748 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
11 councillors (2023: 12) · 48.7% of the vote (2023: 50.3%) Majority 68%
UA±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 27.0% of the vote (2023: 26.5%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
2 councillors (2023: 0) · 9.3% of the vote (2023: 4.6%) Majority 0%
PSOE-A−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 8.0% of the vote (2023: 11.0%) Majority 0%
PARA LA GENTE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.2% of the vote (2023: 5.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 32% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 50.3% → 48.7% 12 → 11 councillors
  2. UALocal lists 26.5% → 27.0% 6 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 4.6% → 9.3% 0 → 2 councillors
  4. PSOE-APSOE 11.0% → 8.0% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. PARA LA GENTELocal lists 5.1% → 5.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. TÚPATRIALocal lists 0.9% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 0.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 12,374 valid votes including 101 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Almuñécar in size, in Granada

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