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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Granada

Almuñécar: PP would keep its majority

Almuñécar (Granada, 26,748 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
11 councillors (2023: 12) · 48.7% of the vote (2023: 50.3%) Majority 68%
UA±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 27.0% of the vote (2023: 26.5%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
2 councillors (2023: 0) · 9.3% of the vote (2023: 4.6%) Majority 0%
PSOE-A−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 8.0% of the vote (2023: 11.0%) Majority 0%
PARA LA GENTE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.2% of the vote (2023: 5.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 32% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Almuñécar

Almuñécar is a municipality in the province of Granada with 26,748 inhabitants, the 3rd largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 50.3% of the vote and 12 seats, an absolute majority; UA was second with 6. 62.8% of the 19,698 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 11 seats, a majority, which it holds in 68% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 50.3% → 48.7% 12 → 11 councillors
  2. UALocal lists 26.5% → 27.0% 6 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 4.6% → 9.3% 0 → 2 councillors
  4. PSOE-APSOE 11.0% → 8.0% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. PARA LA GENTELocal lists 5.1% → 5.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. TÚPATRIALocal lists 0.9% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 0.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 12,374 valid votes including 101 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Almuñécar in size, in Granada

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