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Armilla: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Armilla (Granada, 24,629 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 39.9% of the vote (2023: 43.1%) Majority 19%
PP±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 32.0% of the vote (2023: 32.2%) Majority 1%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 19.4% of the vote (2023: 11.9%) Majority 0%
PARA LA GENTE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.1% of the vote (2023: 5.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 80% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Armilla

Armilla is a municipality in the province of Granada with 24,629 inhabitants, the 4th largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 43.1% of the vote and 10 seats; PP was second with 8. 55% of the 18,701 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE-A would be largest on 9 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 43.1% → 39.9% 10 → 9 councillors
  2. PPPP 32.2% → 32.0% 8 → 8 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.9% → 19.4% 2 → 4 councillors
  4. PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 5.3% → 3.1% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 1.9% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 3.9% → 1.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. CCDLocal lists 0.7% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 10,285 valid votes including 111 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Armilla in size, in Granada

Every municipality in Granada → · All of Spain →