Oñati: EH BILDU would keep its majority
Oñati (Gipuzkoa, 11,515 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- over 99%EH BILDU majority
- 5,580valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Oñati
Oñati is a municipality in the province of Gipuzkoa with 11,515 inhabitants, the 17th largest of its 88 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 EH BILDU came first with 58.8% of the vote and 11 seats, an absolute majority; EAJ-PNV was second with 6. 63.5% of the 8,794 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps EH BILDU on 12 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 58.8% → 66.8% 11 → 12 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 34.6% → 30.0% 6 → 5 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 3.9% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 1.0% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,580 valid votes including 97 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.