Ordizia: EH BILDU would win a majority
Ordizia (Gipuzkoa, 10,424 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 59%EH BILDU majority
- 4,382valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU+2
9
councillors (2023: 7) · 48.3% of the vote (2023: 40.3%)
Majority 59%
EAJ-PNV−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 34.5% of the vote (2023: 37.6%)
Majority 1%
ELKARREKIN PODEMOS - EZKER ANITZA / IU - ORAIN ORD−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 8.6% of the vote (2023: 10.5%)
Majority 0%
PSE-EE (PSOE)±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 6.7% of the vote (2023: 8.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 39% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 40.3% → 48.3% 7 → 9 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 37.6% → 34.5% 7 → 6 councillors
- ELKARREKIN PODEMOS - EZKER ANITZA / IU - ORAIN ORDSumar, Podemos and allies 10.5% → 8.6% 2 → 1 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 8.6% → 6.7% 1 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 1.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,382 valid votes including 77 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.