Ordizia: EH BILDU would win a majority
Ordizia (Gipuzkoa, 10,424 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 59%EH BILDU majority
- 4,382valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 39% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Ordizia
Ordizia is a municipality in the province of Gipuzkoa with 10,424 inhabitants, the 19th largest of its 88 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 EH BILDU came first with 40.3% of the vote and 7 seats; EAJ-PNV was second with 7. 61.5% of the 7,129 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps EH BILDU on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 59% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 40.3% → 48.3% 7 → 9 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 37.6% → 34.5% 7 → 6 councillors
- ELKARREKIN PODEMOS - EZKER ANITZA / IU - ORAIN ORDSumar, Podemos and allies 10.5% → 8.6% 2 → 1 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 8.6% → 6.7% 1 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 1.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,382 valid votes including 77 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.