Elgoibar: EH BILDU would win a majority
Elgoibar (Gipuzkoa, 11,480 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 59%EH BILDU majority
- 5,290valid votes in 2023 (62% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU+2
9
councillors (2023: 7) · 46.8% of the vote (2023: 38.8%)
Majority 59%
EAJ-PNV−1
7
councillors (2023: 8) · 39.4% of the vote (2023: 42.9%)
Majority 11%
PSE-EE (PSOE)−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 8.0% of the vote (2023: 9.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 30% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 38.8% → 46.8% 7 → 9 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 42.9% → 39.4% 8 → 7 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 9.8% → 8.0% 2 → 1 councillors
- ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-EZKER ANITZA/IU-ALIANZA VERDESumar, Podemos and allies 4.8% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 2.5% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,290 valid votes including 64 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.