Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Oiartzun: EH BILDU would keep its majority

Oiartzun (Gipuzkoa, 10,362 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU+1
14 councillors (2023: 13) · 76.0% of the vote (2023: 67.4%) Majority over 99%
EAJ-PNV−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 18.7% of the vote (2023: 21.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 67.4% → 76.0% 13 → 14 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 21.7% → 18.7% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-EZKER ANITZA/IU-ALIANZA VERDESumar, Podemos and allies 4.3% → 2.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PPPP 1.7% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 2.9% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,898 valid votes including 92 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Oiartzun in size, in Gipuzkoa

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